Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 6.455459e-01 0.828947 1.035595 1.282933 1.568184 1.884225 2.258204
2025-08-17 3.681542e-01 0.585704 0.864668 1.235866 1.704295 2.263966 2.971117
2025-08-24 2.372309e-01 0.468644 0.803940 1.292396 1.954173 2.790169 3.896041
2025-08-31 1.421976e-01 0.360511 0.721041 1.294700 2.123671 3.222306 4.731656
2025-09-07 9.575335e-02 0.308302 0.702482 1.376242 2.398995 3.802782 5.783672
2025-09-14 6.126784e-02 0.258673 0.671959 1.428871 2.630816 4.332407 6.789502
2025-09-21 3.627859e-02 0.211698 0.630600 1.452640 2.815206 4.799968 7.726034
2025-09-28 1.801623e-02 0.163069 0.568613 1.427087 2.915160 5.146085 8.503215
2025-10-05 9.387559e-03 0.134990 0.540282 1.454209 3.095825 5.612365 9.458665
2025-10-12 4.108995e-03 0.109269 0.507177 1.464559 3.245500 6.034557 10.360407
2025-10-19 1.032769e-03 0.080644 0.452531 1.420478 3.295544 6.303579 11.045628
2025-10-26 1.109956e-04 0.059215 0.406531 1.384189 3.352328 6.580691 11.745874
2025-11-02 4.880301e-07 0.046201 0.381820 1.392604 3.493077 7.000854 12.679385
2025-11-09 NaN 0.031628 0.338906 1.349405 3.533855 7.262189 13.383239
2025-11-16 NaN 0.027386 0.339233 1.412885 3.780339 7.864588 14.616026
2025-11-23 NaN 0.020374 0.318265 1.417078 3.911030 8.280190 15.573186
2025-11-30 NaN 0.018730 0.327793 1.504717 4.210893 8.984316 16.986304
2025-12-07 NaN 0.015845 0.326296 1.561136 4.450376 9.593098 18.263045
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012256 0.314768 1.586636 4.627582 10.100818 19.391718
2025-12-21 NaN 0.007912 0.287464 1.559600 4.693426 10.419665 20.230587
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005946 0.278952 1.588488 4.877233 10.944488 21.400586
2026-01-04 NaN 0.004095 0.265784 1.599517 5.022296 11.404355 22.473926
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002059 0.237378 1.552680 5.037514 11.636253 23.187876